Pedestrians walk past huge billboards of luxury brands on the street of Nanjing, China (Photo: Zhang Peng/LightRocket via Getty Images)
Cover Pedestrians walk past huge billboards of luxury brands on the street of Nanjing, China. The country’s declining economic growth has had a significant impact on the global luxury slowdown (Photo: Zhang Peng/LightRocket via Getty Images)
Pedestrians walk past huge billboards of luxury brands on the street of Nanjing, China (Photo: Zhang Peng/LightRocket via Getty Images)

The luxury slowdown is here, but is it a blip, a market correction or a sign that the industry needs a radical rethink? From price hikes and shifting consumer values to strategic missteps and the rise of resale, we explore the forces reshaping the luxury landscape

In the past year, both Kering and LVMH, arguably the world’s largest luxury conglomerates, reported declines in revenue. LVMH reported a 3 per cent organic growth last quarter, down from 14 per cent in 2023. Meanwhile, its leather goods and fashion revenues are down 5 per cent, while its wine and spirits business has slumped 6 per cent. At Kering, revenues fell by 20 per cent in the first half of the year. 

In a sign of the times, British luxury e-commerce platform Farfetch was acquired by Coupang—South Korea’s version of Amazon—after facing financial difficulties, and Switzerland’s Richemont sold the online fashion retailer Yoox Net-a-Porter to Germany-based e-commerce company MyTheresa.

Read more: Richemont CEO Nicolas Bos on bringing the art of jewellery making into watchmaking

Still, despite these troubles, brands like Prada, Miu Miu and Moncler have reported double-digit growth in Asia-Pacific, while Richemont, which owns luxury watch and jewellery brands like Cartier, outperformed expectations, raising questions about the broader health of the luxury market.

However, all in all, luxury is not doing great. According to a Bank of America report, the luxury sector has slowed down, leading to speculations about whether it’s a harbinger of that recession we have been talking about for the past two years. 

So what really is going on? 

Read more: In an uncertain economy, this is how to position your business for success

Tatler Asia
Above The luxury market is slowing down, thanks in part to the changing attitudes of Chinese customers, who are not travelling as much as before (Photo: Getty Images)

1. Unhealthy market conditions

We remember those dark days of early 2020 when we thought we would never leave our houses and never need to dress up again. The initial slowdown brought about by the Covid-19 pandemic was later reversed by revenge spending, and by 2021, the luxury sector was exploding, reporting unprecedented growth. 

Since 2023, however, the fever seems to be abating, with growth levels reaching pre-pandemic numbers. “Maybe the current global situation, be it geopolitical or macroeconomic, doesn’t lead people to cheer up and open bottles of champagne,” Jean-Jacques Guiony, LVMH’s chief financial officer, said during its earnings call in July. “I don’t really know. The matter of fact is, is that our volumes are down double digits.”

This slowdown is also attributed to China’s slowing economic growth. For the past decade, China was the driving force of luxury, both in its home markets and overseas, accounting for 50 per cent of LVMH’s pre-pandemic growth. A drop in consumer spending has directly impacted the fortunes of luxury brands. Sales in Asia, excluding Japan, have dropped 14 per cent. 

Read more: If AI steals our jobs, who’ll be left to buy stuff?

This decline in China is linked to various factors, including a real estate crisis, economic uncertainty and the government’s “common prosperity” drive, which aims to reduce wealth inequality. Reduced tourism from China has also impacted global luxury sales.   

This resulted in Bernard Arnault, the owner of LVMH (which holds 75 brands including Dior, Louis Vuitton, Celine and Sephora), losing his title as the world’s richest man, when his company stock price slumped 20 per cent and caused him to lose US$54 billion in one fell swoop. He’s still worth US$177 billion, though. 

“As long as I’m not the richest man in the world, I won’t really be happy,” Arnault once said. 

2. Shifting consumer values

Tatler Asia
Above Amidst volatile market conditions, brands are also increasing their prices, alienating entry-level consumers (Photo: Getty Images)

Brands like Chanel increase their prices annually—a New York Times article cites that the price of a Chanel 2.55 was “US$1,650 in 2008. In 2023, that figure from Chanel is closer to US$10,200”.

According to the data company Edited, luxury prices have increased by 25 per cent since 2019. Even influencers like Bryan Yambao, known as Bryanboy, complained about the prices on Instagram last year, saying: “Industrywide, the pricing has gotten truly absurd.”

Nobody has paid heed. A report by research company Bernstein states that the prices of evergreen products from Dior and Chanel increased by 66 per cent between 2020 and 2023. Burberry has seen its fortunes fall since it hiked its prices, with knitted duck hats going for US$3,000.

While some brands claim to be targeting the ultra-wealthy, this strategy risks alienating a significant portion of their customer base who are now questioning the value proposition. This can be seen in the contrasting fortunes of Prada and Miu Miu, who have maintained or even lowered prices on some of their collections, successfully attracting younger consumers.

It’s difficult to ignore that we are living in a period of global economic uncertainty, with many facing job losses and financial strain. It’s no surprise that these price increases have been termed “greedflation”, leaving a bitter taste for some consumers. This raises questions about whether luxury brands are prioritising profit margins over genuine value and craftsmanship, potentially alienating consumers who expect more for their investment.

In an interview with Bloomberg, Balossini Volpe, a professor at Italy’s ISTUD business school, explained, “When customers realise that the same bag doubled in price in less than five years with no explanation but greed, and at the same time, they hear about subcontractors using underpaid illegal workers, they feel angry and fooled. Their sense of trust is broken.”

Brands need to carefully consider whether their price increases are justified by genuine improvements in quality, craftsmanship or exclusivity. Simply raising prices without offering a commensurate increase in value can erode consumer trust and drive them towards more affordable alternatives or the resale and vintage market.

Savvy consumers are increasingly turning to these platforms to find unique, high-quality pieces at more affordable prices. This trend reflects a shift towards more conscious consumption and a desire for individuality, potentially impacting the sales of new luxury goods. 

Read more: Out of step: Why sneakers and sportswear still lag on sustainability

3. Don’t just blame the markets

Tatler Asia
Craft jewelery making. Jeweller fixes sapphires on the ring.
Above As prices increase, so does the demand for enduring quality and exquisite craftsmanship that transcends fleeting trends (Photo: Getty Images)
Craft jewelery making. Jeweller fixes sapphires on the ring.

While the slowing Chinese economy, inflation and the white-collar job recession have undoubtedly contributed to the luxury slowdown, it would be short-sighted to ignore the role of internal strategy in the struggles of some brands. A closer look reveals several missteps that may be exacerbating the impact of external market forces. 

Read more: Property trend report: Luxury real estate buyers value sustainability more than ever in 2024

The luxury industry thrives on innovation, but some recent product launches have been met with criticism for lacking originality or failing to capture the imagination of consumers. The Louis Vuitton Neverfull Inside Out bag, for example, was perceived as an attempt to capitalise on a trend that savvy consumers were already embracing. This raises questions about whether some brands are investing enough in genuine innovation or simply relying on old formulas and rehashed ideas.

Moreover, some brands seem to be struggling to adapt their messaging to resonate with these diverse audiences. Gucci’s recent change in creative direction, for instance, has been met with mixed reactions, when Sabato de Sarno was named creative director, replacing Alessandro Michele. While some applaud the shift towards a more understated aesthetic, others feel the brand has lost its distinctive identity and alienated its loyal customer base. 

4. What’s next?

The luxury industry has long been known to weather economic downturns. During the recession of 2008, the luxury good market declined by 8 per cent, with LVMH weathering 1 per cent of that impact. However, its fashion and leather goods markets actually grew 5 per cent, proving a long-standing belief that luxury has inelastic demand, and is thus not affected by economic conditions.

But with recent numbers, we have to ask: Is this just a blip? Is this just the market correcting itself after the post-pandemic boom? Or does it signal that luxury needs to reinvent itself by re-evaluating pricing strategies, investing in genuine innovation and strengthening its commitment to sustainability?

Perhaps it’s time for the industry to redefine its raison-d’être for a new generation of consumers seeking more than just status and exclusivity.

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